Polymarket-nativeResearch layer

News Intelligence for Polymarket Traders.

PREDX turns the news, prices and resolution risk moving Polymarket into structured signals — what moved, why, and what to watch next.

NEWSTrump signs executive orderon China tariffsReuters · Bloomberg · 2m agoMARKETTrump 25%+ Chinatariff by Apr 15?YES 78¢ ▲NO 22¢PREDXmapsverifyexplainSIGNALMispricing · LIKELY NOEdge 53 ptsmarket 0.78 → fair ~0.25
The core loop

News finds it. Events organize it. Markets price it. Signals explain it.

monitors price · volume · liquidity · wallets · resolutionNewsfinds itEventorganizes itMarketsprice itSignalexplains itYouwatch · track · trade
Every signal walks the user from “what happened” to “how Polymarket is pricing it.”

Step 02 — The mapping moat

Any AI can summarize news. The hard part is knowing which markets it moves.

  • Entity recognitionpeople, countries, institutions, teams, policies, tickers.
  • Event clusteringmany headlines, one storyline, one Event object.
  • Market matchingfind the most relevant live contract on Polymarket.
  • Related-market expansionsurface the other markets the same event touches.
Mapping layerlive
Ingest"Trump signs executive order on China tariffs"
TrumpChinatariffexecutive_order

EventUS–China Trade 2026
Clustered7 headlines

Markets matched
Trump 25%+ China tariff?primary
US–China deal before July?secondary
Recession called in 2026?tertiary
8 related markets surfaced under this event ✓
US–China Trade 2026Event · clusters 7 headlinesTrump 25%+ China tariff?78¢▲US–China deal before July?31¢Tariffs above 10% in 2026?58¢US recession called in 2026?22¢S&P down 5% this month?18¢PrimarySecondaryTertiary
One event, many Polymarket reactions — PREDX prices the whole storyline, not a single contract.
Step 03 — The trust layer · PREDX's core moat

Why you can believe a signal — not just see it

🔍 Resolution Verdict5-dimension check
Market25%+ China tariff by Apr 15?
VerdictLIKELY NO

SubjectTrump + EO — match
ActionEO signed — confirmed
?Qualifier"25%+" vs EO "up to 25%"
DeadlineEO effective Apr 15 — tight
Sourceofficial document

UMA dispute riskHIGH
Confidence 82% · 4 independent sources

Four checks stand between a headline and a signal you trust

  • 1Resolution Verdictdoes the news actually satisfy how the market settles? Five independent checks: subject, action, qualifier, deadline, source.
  • 2Multi-dimensional Confidencenot a black-box “68%.” Source reliability, resolution match, market reaction, alpha remaining and multi-source — each shown and weighted.
  • 3Multi-source verificationsingle-source rumors are flagged and down-weighted; four independent outlets raise confidence.
  • 4Public track recordevery signal's 1h / 6h / 24h outcome is logged. We publish the misses too.

One connected research workflow

From scattered searches to one event view.

The advantage is not another AI summary. It is the research context removed from finding, matching, checking and organizing the information behind a Polymarket market.

Without PREDX
6+ stepstime spread across tabs and repeated checks

01Find the original news and determine what materially changed.

02Search Polymarket for every potentially related market.

03Match the event subject, action, outcome and deadline.

04Read full resolution rules and identify decisive conditions.

05Compare the news timeline with probability movement.

06Check volume, liquidity, spread and conflicting evidence.

With PREDX
1 eventthe same research context, already connected

NEWSVerified reports are organized by publication time and source.

EVENTMaterial developments are combined into one evolving timeline.

MARKETSDirect, indirect and monitoring market connections are separated.

MOVEProbability changes sit beside volume and liquidity context.

RULESResolution conditions and remaining unknowns stay visible.

NEXTThe next source or condition worth monitoring is clear.

Fewer tabs. Less searching. Faster context.One event connects the news, affected markets, reaction timeline and rules that determine what matters.
News → Event → Markets → Rules
Product FAQ

Clear answers before you start.

What PREDX is, how it works and where its responsibility ends.

What is PREDX?

PREDX is news intelligence for Polymarket traders. It helps users discover news that may be relevant to active Polymarket markets, see which markets it affects, and understand how prices react. PREDX connects breaking news with relevant markets, resolution rules, and near-real-time market reactions. It organizes related reports into events, maps those events to active markets, and brings price, volume, liquidity, and timeline context into one connected research path. PREDX is an independent product and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or officially connected to Polymarket.

How is PREDX different from Polymarket?

Polymarket provides the prediction markets and trading venue; PREDX provides the news intelligence and research context around those markets. PREDX organizes breaking news into events, connects those events with relevant Polymarket markets, and presents resolution and market-reaction context alongside them. This gives traders a direct path from a developing story to the markets connected to it and the way those markets are responding. PREDX is an independent product and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or officially connected to Polymarket.

How does PREDX connect news with Polymarket markets?

PREDX turns related news reports into structured events and connects each event with relevant active Polymarket markets. It aligns the people, organizations, actions, outcomes, timing, and deadlines in the news with the questions and conditions of active markets. PREDX then organizes the resulting relationships by relevance and presents them in an event-to-market map, allowing one developing story to connect with multiple related contracts. These relationships show how news and markets are connected; they do not by themselves prove that the news caused a price movement.

Why are resolution rules important?

Resolution rules define the conditions under which a Polymarket market settles. PREDX places those conditions alongside the related news and event context. Users can review the market question, qualifying language, deadline, and designated resolution source together with the event. This makes it easier to distinguish between news that is broadly related to a market and news that addresses a specific settlement condition. Terms such as "announced," "signed," "implemented," and "completed" can carry different meanings under the rules. PREDX provides resolution context but does not determine Polymarket's official resolution.

How does PREDX help users understand market reactions?

PREDX aligns timestamped news and events with price movement, trading volume, and liquidity, giving users a clearer view of how a market reacted. Users can see what changed, when it changed, how trading activity developed, and whether available liquidity supports a more stable interpretation of the move. The combined timeline makes it easier to compare the release of information with the market's response without treating timing as proof of causation. Market prices reflect trading activity and can be influenced by liquidity, spreads, and participant behavior; they are not verified facts or guaranteed probabilities.

How is PREDX different from a general-purpose AI assistant?

PREDX is built specifically for news intelligence around Polymarket, while a general-purpose AI assistant supports a much broader range of questions and tasks. PREDX brings breaking news, structured events, active markets, resolution rules, and timestamped market reactions into one specialized workflow. Instead of stopping at a standalone news summary, it connects a developing story with the markets it affects and the way those markets are responding. This gives Polymarket traders a focused, market-specific research path while complementing the broader capabilities of general-purpose AI assistants.

Does PREDX provide trading advice, predict outcomes, or trade automatically?

No. PREDX does not provide personalized trading or investment advice, predict future outcomes, guarantee returns, trade automatically, or copy other traders. PREDX provides news intelligence, market relationships, resolution context, and market-reaction information to support users' own research. Users remain responsible for reviewing the complete market rules, conducting independent research, making their own trading decisions, and assessing liquidity, costs, eligibility, and risk. Prediction markets carry the risk of loss, including the possible loss of the full amount committed.

PREDX / event intelligence for Polymarket

Read the event.
Interrogate the price.

Open the research path behind a market move: the fact, the market relationship, the rule and the next observation.

Explore PREDX →